THE EFFECTS OF COVID-19 ON RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY PRICES IN MALAYSIA

Authors

  • Siti Hafsah Zulkarnain School of Real Estate and Building Surveying, College of Built Environment, UNIVERSITI TEKNOLOGI MARA, MALAYSIA
  • Abdol Samad Nawi Department of Postgraduate and Professional Studies, Faculty of Business and Management, UNIVERSITI TEKNOLOGI MARA, KELANTAN, MALAYSIA
  • Ainoriza Mohd Aini Centre for Sustainable Planning and Real Estate (SUPRE), Faculty of Built Environment, UNIVERSITI MALAYA, MALAYSIA

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.21837/pm.v21i26.1270

Keywords:

COVID-19, GDP, inflation, interest rate, residential

Abstract

The physical distancing, lockdown, and other measures due to the COVID-19 pandemic have caused massive job loss and economic hardship, which would result in people not being able to pay their mortgages or rent.   Thus, the main objective of this study is to examine the effects of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP), inflation, investment, and interest rate on residential property prices in Malaysia before and during COVID-19. This research utilises the annual time series data from 1990 to 2020, and the empirical analysis is conducted using the multiple linear regression analysis modelling approach. The finding shows that GDP and interest rates are positive and statistically significant with residential property prices. Practitioners can use these findings to understand the pandemic's effect on house prices. This will provide some guidelines for a policy formulation to moderate the increase in residential property prices to maintain the country's economic stability and indirectly help the government realise its vision of becoming a high-income country between 2024 and 2028. This is the first study that examines the pricing behaviour of Malaysian house prices concerning the COVID-19 shocks. In addition, the study contributes to regional housing price studies by bridging the real estate literature gap.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Abdul Latif, N.S., Muhammad Rizwan Majeed, K., Rozzani, N., & Khadijah Saleh, S. (2020). Factors Affecting Housing Prices in Malaysia: A Literature Review. International Journal of Asian Social Science, 10(1), 63–67. DOI: https://doi.org/10.18488/journal.1.2020.101.63.67

Akumu, D. O. (2014). The relationship between selected macro economic variables and residential housing property returns in Kenya (Doctoral dissertation, University of Nairobi).

Allen-Coghlan, M., & McQuinn, K. M. (2020). The potential impact of COVID-19 on the Irish housing sector. International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/IJHMA-05-2020-0065

Baharuddin, N. S., Mohd Isa, I. N., & Mohd Zahari, A. S. (2019). Housing Price in Malaysia: the Impact of Macroeconomic Indicators. Journal of Global Business and Social Entrepreneurship (GBSE), 5(16), 69–80.

Case, B., Goetzmann, W., & Rouwenhorst, K. G. (2000). Global real estate markets — Cycles and fundamentals. NBER Working Paper No. 7566. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3386/w7566

Delmendo, L. c. (2020). Malaysia's great house price boom is over. Global Property Website, 179, Asia. https://www.globalpropertyguide.com/Asia/Malaysia/Price-History

Department of Statistic Malaysia (DOSM), 2020 and 2021

Duja, B., & Supriyanto, H. (2019). The influence of GDP, interest rate, wage, inflation and exchange rate on residential property price in Indonesia. Planning Malaysia, 17(1), 389–400. https://doi.org/10.21837/pmjournal.v17.i9.614 DOI: https://doi.org/10.21837/pmjournal.v17.i9.614

FRED, Economic Data. (2021, May 27). Real Residential Property Prices for Malaysia. Retrieved from https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/QRM628BIS

Kadhim, K. G., Harun, A., Hamawandy, N. M., Qader, A. N., Khudhur, H. A., Kakil, R. M., & Ali, R. M. (2021). The Measures to Overcome the Impact of COVID-19 On Malaysia Economy. Turkish Online Journal of Qualitative Inquiry, 12(8).

Kathy B., News, M., & Times, S. (2020). Malaysia's overall real estate market hit hard by coronavirus. March.

Kiong, W. V., & Aralas, S. B. (2019). Macroeconomic Variables and Housing Price in Malaysia. 2019(Ice), 23–34.

Knight Frank. Global House Price Index, Research, Q2 2020 and Q1 2021, Knight Frank. 2020, 2021. Available online: https://www.knightfrank.co.nz/research/global-house-price-index-q1-2021-8146.aspx (accessed on 29 December 2021).

Mariadas, P. A., Abdullah, H., & Abdullah, N. (2020). The Effect of Ageing Population on House Prices in Malaysia. An Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Cointegration Approach. International Journal of Psychosocial Rehabilitation, 24(02), 2468–2476. https://doi.org/10.37200/ijpr/v24i2/pr200543 DOI: https://doi.org/10.37200/IJPR/V24I2/PR200543

National Property Information Centre, NAPIC (2020), Property Market Status Report, H1 2020.

Pillaiyan, S. (2015). Macroeconomic Drivers of House Prices in Malaysia. Canadian Social Science, 11(9), 119–130. https://doi.org/10.3968/7482

Reen, T. A., & Razali, M. N. (2016). The Dynamics of House Price Volatility in Malaysia. Journal of Technology Management and Business, 3(2), 14–35.

Nguyen, J. (2020). Is There a Correlation Between Inflation and Home Prices ? 2020.

Sahin, T.; Girgin, Y. Central Banks Cut Interest Rates 207 Times in 2020, AA Economy, 18 January 2021.

San Ong, T. (2013). Factors Affecting the Price of Housing in Malaysia. Finance and Banking (JEIEFB) An Online International Monthly Journal, 5, 415.

Sean, S. L., & Hong, T. T. (2014). Factors Affecting the Purchase Decision of Investors in the Residential Property Market in Malaysia. Journal of Surveying, Construction & Property, 5(2), 1–13. https://doi.org/10.22452/jscp.vol5no2.4 DOI: https://doi.org/10.22452/jscp.vol5no2.4

Trofimov, I. D., Aris, N. M., & Xuan, D. C. D. (2018). Macroeconomic and Demographic Determinants of Residential Property Prices in Malaysia. Zagreb International Review of Economics and Business, 21(2), 71–96. https://doi.org/10.2478/zireb-2018-0015 DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/zireb-2018-0015

The World Bank. (2021, March 16). Malaysia to Achieve High Income Status Between 2024 and 2028, but Needs to Improve the Quality, Inclusiveness, and Sustainability of Economic Growth to Remain Competitive.

Wang, B. (2021). How does COVID-19 affect house prices? A cross-city analysis. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 14(2), 47. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm14020047

Wetzstein, S. (2017). The global urban housing affordability crisis. Urban Studies, 54(14), 3159-3177. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/0042098017711649

Wit, & Dijk. (2003). The global determinants of direct office real estate return. Journal of Real Estate Finance & Economics, 26(1), 27-45. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1021518130915

Zandi, G., Supramaniam, M. A., Aslam, A., & Theng, L. K. (2015). The Economical Factors Affecting Residential Property Price: The Case of Penang Island. International Journal of Economics and Finance, 7(12), 200. https://doi.org/10.5539/ijef.v7n12p200 DOI: https://doi.org/10.5539/ijef.v7n12p200

Zhu, H. B. (2004). What drives housing price dynamics: Cross country evidence. BIS Quarterly Review, March.

Downloads

Published

2023-06-27

How to Cite

Zulkarnain, S. H., Nawi, A. S., & Mohd Aini, A. (2023). THE EFFECTS OF COVID-19 ON RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY PRICES IN MALAYSIA. PLANNING MALAYSIA, 21(26). https://doi.org/10.21837/pm.v21i26.1270